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Federal Reserve uncertainty affecting stocks

No matter how thin you slice it, it’s still baloney. – Alfred E. Smith Will they or won’t they? That still seems to be the question on all investors’ minds after minutes of the Fed’s July 30-31 policy meeting were released last Wednesday. Sandwiched between mixed housing data on existing and new home sales for […]

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Stronger economic data leads to taper talk

Basically, we were guessing on interest rates … what we’ve come to believe is that no one can guess interest rates. – Fred Henning, head of fixed-income investing at Fidelity Investments, LA Times, July 7, 1997. Here we go again. Just when you thought that investors could finally put Fed tapering to rest, it reared […]

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Fed taper concerns weigh on market

Something that everyone knows isn’t worth knowing. – Bernard Baruch Apparently investors did not care for the view from up high as both the Dow and S&P 500 descended from their record levels set last week. After rising six consecutive weeks, the Dow finally turned in a losing week as economic data was sparse and […]

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Stocks strong on earnings and economic data

Our stay-put behavior reflects our view that the stock market serves as a relocation center at which money is moved from the active to the passive. – Warren Buffett After a week when the economic data could best be described as lackluster and the statement from the Federal Reserve was more of the same, the […]

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Calm before the storm….

Bull market: An upward movement in prices causing an investor to mistake himself for a financial genius. – Anonymous     Last week could best be characterized as calm before the storm as the importance of last week’s economic data pales by comparison with what is scheduled for this week. Although there was the release […]

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At the risk of sounding like a broken record…

It has been a problem since the dawn of the retail brokerage business: Brokers have a strong incentive to get customers to trade when it might be in clients’ interests to do nothing. – Business Week, July 14, 1997     At the risk of sounding like a broken record, Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke […]

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Federal Reserve rescues stocks

Investors attribute successes to their own brilliance, and they attribute failures to bad luck. If you keep doing that, at the end of the day you think you’re a genius. – Nicholas Barberis Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke rode to the rescue of the stock market last week with his announcement that the Fed would […]

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Earnings will hold the key for stocks

We have two classes of forecasters: those who don’t know – and those who don’t know they don’t know. -John Kenneth Galbraith After the stronger than expected jobs report on Friday and ahead of the much anticipated earnings season beginning on Monday, many market pundits and economists have begun to forecast those earnings as well […]

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Tug of war between bulls and bears

One of the funny things about the stock market, every time one is buying another is selling, and both think they are astute. -William Feather  Both bullish and bearish investors can make their case for whether or not stocks will continue to rise or fall by looking at the current level of interest rates. For […]

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To taper or not to taper

This is my first weekly market commentary of what will be many, many more to come at Hinsdale Associates. Each week I’ll recap the week’s key market moving economic data and preview what to expect from the market in the coming week. I’ll also discuss the effects of the data on portfolio strategy and any […]

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